This Week in the Economy (Friday the 13th Wrap Up!)

The Treasury auction held yesterday showed that foreign demand for US bonds is still strong. This is good news, as a significant amount of foreing money is invested in US bonds, and this helps keep the lending industry healthy.

The last two big economic reports for the week were released this morning, and the bond market is relatively quiet. Stocks are back below the 11,000 marker, and appear to be tickling support around 10,950. If stocks fall decisively below this level, Bonds will benefit. But if stocks continue to run at the 11,000 level or higher, it could pull money away from Bonds and hurt pricing.

Below is a discussion of today's economic reports for those of you who are interested.

The Producer Price Index (PPI) which indicates inflation at the wholesale level jumped 0.9% in December, but when excluding volatile food and energy costs, the Core PPI rose a mild 0.1%. For all of 2005, the PPI grew by 5.4% - the largest calendar year increase since 1990…but was likely due to high energy costs experienced throughout the year. More importantly, the Core rate rose by just 1.7% in 2005. This indicates that overall inflation appears to be in control…good news for Bonds and home loan rates.

Retail Sales were slightly below consensus estimates at 0.7% in December. Economists were estimating an increase in sales of 1.0%, but sales for October and November were revised higher, so it was basically a wash. Year-over-year, Retail Sales for December were up 6.3% from December 2004 – a good sign of a strengthening economy.